Recently there was a boxing fight in Australia between Danny Green and Paul Briggs that ended in controversy. Perhaps ‘outrage’ and ‘farce’ are better words to describe what occurred!
Briggs took a glancing blow on top of his head, and then seconds later withdrew from the fight. The knock to the head was so slight it wouldn’t have hurt a five year old, little lone knock out a professional boxer!
Then shock horror the bookies later revel that there had been a flood of money beforehand on the fight finishing in the first round; enough to slash the odds from around $10 into as short as $1.07.
There is no proof, but many wonder whether the fight was fixed. As a punter you would have been furious about what occurred!
On the plus side, there are a number of bookmakers who are now prepared to do what is morally right. Plenty of credit must go to the betting agencies that afterwards decided to refund all losing bets from this fight, and do so in other events which also seem dubious.
But it makes you wonder about what else happens around the world? Tennis and cricket has not been without its controversies; while Italian Football (Lega Serie A) was rocked back in 2000 when eight players were found guilty of match fixing.
As a general better what can you do about it?
Unfortunately not much, other than trying to avoid betting on things you may suspect.
For example the ATP, the governing tennis body, a few years ago investigated Nikolay Davydenko for match fixing (for which he was cleared). Nevertheless, I for one have never bet on a match featuring him since.
Also keep an eye out for betting plunges. If the odds of a particular market change dramatically you now that something is up. Some people will say to “follow the money” and back it yourself – But I think you should avoid betting on the market all together. It’s just not worth it, and in some cases it has been known for some people artificially create a plunge so that they can then back the reverse side at greater odds!!
Moving on, there are also other factors which can affect the motivation of team or player. Sometimes a certain match may mean little in the overall scheme of things, and hence a team or player may not be at their peak.
• Any match which is a dead rubber. By dead rubber I mean one whereby the result of the particular match does not affect an overall series result. A common example in cricket is the last Test match of a series when one team has already wrapped up the series.
• When a team already has a finals place, or a certain position on of the Ladder/Table already wrapped up. What is their motivation for the match, or will they perhaps rest certain players etc?
• One Day and Twenty20 cricket matches which will be soon forgotten about once they have been played. If anything, always err on backing the outsider in these matches.
• Tennis matches in the first round or two in minor tournaments, particularly if one of the players comes from a country that has a bad reputation for match fixing.
• Exhibition games and pre-season games.
• Reality TV shows, particularly if the outcome is based on just a few certain judges decisions, and most certainly if the TV series is taped beforehand.
• Awards, Most Valuable Players awards, Best and Fairest’s; particularly if the outcome is decided by a few select people.